Share

Ecomotive - Archive

05/03/2013
LOGISTICS AND TRANSPORT IN THE ABYSS OF THE CRISIS

The year that has just ended “closed with minus signs in all sectors: the downturn in road transport was around 5% compared to 2011, rail transport was down 4.8%, air freight 5.8% and even sea transport fell by between 3 and 5%”.

Paolo Castiglia

TURNOVER IN DECLINE, firms in distress, operators in decreasing numbers: the road transport and logistics sector closed 2012 the same way it began. The figures come from Confetra, according to which it will be another gloomy year with no expectations of recovery.  Also according to Confetra, the outlook for the coming months is equally pessimistic, with the first half of the year producing the same negative results recorded to date and the second half showing timid signs of  rising but not enough to reverse the trend. But research carried out by TransportIntelligence into automotive logistics showed rapid change that diverts flows of traffic and investments to emerging countries.  In China the sector will grow by 10% a year, at least until 2014.
Going back to the survey by Confetra, the confederation that unites transport, logistics and goods warehousing  firms under one umbrella. It showed that the year that has just ended “closed with minus signs in all sectors: the downturn in road transport was around 5% compared to 2011, rail transport was down 4.8%, air freight 5.8% and even sea transport fell by between 3 and 5%”.
The only positive figure, which is forecast to continue to increase next year, refers to the express couriers that work with companies operating in e-commerce and which has been consolidated at around +2% on an annual basis. “The latter is the only sector that had positive results in a profoundly negative scenario” –  explained Piero Luzzati, director general of Confetra. “We expected manufacturing to recover in 2012 with the consequent increase in volumes of transported goods. But there was no growth”.
As to the automotive supply chain, until a few years ago this logistics sector seemed destined to lead the peaceful life of a mature market. But the development of emerging countries, China primarily, and the crisis in 2009 – which, as we all know, continues in Europe – changed the picture and forecasts. According to TransportIntelligence’s Global Automotive Logistics 2013 report, the current revolution could be a source of numerous opportunities for operators who know how to take them and are also global vis-à-vis dimension. After the collapse of global sales in 2009, the industry regained its strength and (again at world level) recouped the volumes lost during that period.
Research shows that the value of the current automotive market is 57 billion euros, thanks first and foremost to the strong drive of sales in China and emerging countries, but also in the United States. A scenario that is changing manufacturing and, consequently, logistics. China’s explosion in consumption encouraged global producers to open new factories in the country and this opened up new prospects for logistics firms that are able to provide services with European standards. A situation that will continue for the next two years at least, when annual growth is expected to be ten per cent.

back to archive